Hochul in Trouble. Polls indicate that she holds only a slim margin against Republican challenger Lee Zeldin. She is ahead by only 4 points in a matchup with him. The Governor leads him by 5 percent in the crucial New York City and suburban markets. The only place she has a decisive lead is in her native upstate region. Most ominously she trails badly among Blacks and Hispanics, traditional Democratic constituencies. She similarly fares poorly when matched against Cuomo. Clearly there is a backlash as a consequence of the Cuomo scandals. There may well be a Republican victory in November. Hochul in Trouble. She needs to distance herself from her disgraced predecessor and forge her own coalition !!