Hochul Ahead in Poll. She leads Zeldin by 14 points in the latest Siena College poll. She holds a commanding 50 point lead in New York City. Zeldin has a tight 3 point margin upstate and in the New York suburbs. All is not lost for the GOP. There are 3 months until Election Day. Dissatisfaction with Joe Biden is at an all time high. To win Zeldin must cut into her lead in NYC. Her soft on crime policies do not play well there with middle class minority voters there. Zeldin also needs to pull ahead upstate and in the New York suburbs. Hochul Ahead in Poll. The race will be hotly contested in the run up to November !!